The Myth of the AI Guru And Why Product Thinking Still Rules

Why Curated Judgment and Thoughtful Design Matter More Than Ever in an AI-Powered World

Something’s happening in tech right now that’s making a lot of people nervous.

AI keeps getting better. Like, uncomfortably fast. New models drop every few weeks with capabilities that would’ve seemed impossible last year. Context windows that can hold entire codebases. Features that make you question what you thought you knew about software development.

It’s thrilling and terrifying in equal measure.

And right in the middle of this chaos, we’ve got a new archetype: the AI specialist. Maybe they’re calling themselves prompt engineers. Maybe they’re solo founders spinning up SaaS products in their spare time. Maybe they’re just that person at your company who figured out how to make Claude write decent code.

These folks are doing impressive stuff. Real stuff. They’re automating workflows that used to take teams weeks. Building prototypes over lunch breaks. Making AI do things that feel like magic.

But here’s the question that’s keeping product managers up at night: Where do we fit in anymore?

AI Can Build Fast, But Can It Build Right?

Let’s get real about what’s changed. A decent AI practitioner can bang out a working prototype faster than most teams can schedule a kickoff meeting. Need a chatbot that handles customer support? Weekend project. Want an email summarizer? Few hours, tops. Meeting transcript analyzer? Done before your next standup.

This stuff used to require product specs, engineering sprints, QA cycles. Now it requires curiosity and caffeine.

But here’s where it gets interesting. Once you move past the demo stage, reality hits hard. Your AI needs to remember context across sessions. Handle edge cases that would make your grandmother cry. Deal with users who don’t follow the happy path you designed.

Suddenly, your weekend project needs architecture. Strategy. Actual product thinking.

That’s when the magic gets messy.

What Product People Actually Do (That AI Can’t)

You know what product thinking really is? It’s not competing with AI. It’s about knowing when to use it and when to step back.

Product managers ask the uncomfortable questions before anyone writes code. Is AI even the right solution here? Would a simple UI change solve this faster? What happens when the model gets confused? How do we measure success when “success” is subjective?

They’re the ones thinking about the human on the other side of the screen. AI doesn’t know what frustration feels like. It can’t sense when a user is getting overwhelmed or when they’re ready for more complexity. It doesn’t understand the emotional weight of getting something wrong.

But product people do. They design around uncertainty. They turn vague feature requests into testable hypotheses. They make decisions when the data is incomplete and learn from being wrong.

This is the stuff that makes AI tools useful instead of just impressive.

A Story About Building With AI (And Getting Humbled)

When I was working on Scryblet, this AI writing assistant for novelists, the technical pieces fell into place surprisingly fast. I had embeddings working, version control, hierarchical story structure. The AI could generate coherent prose, maintain character voices, even reference plot points from earlier chapters.

I thought I was done. I was wrong.

Writers didn’t want a robot that wrote for them. They wanted a partner that understood their process. Some needed gentle nudges when they got stuck. Others wanted to be left alone until they asked for help. The difference between useful and annoying wasn’t in the model’s capabilities; it was in understanding how writers actually work.

Same thing happened with Speakloom, the social skills coaching app. The AI could generate infinite conversation scenarios. But people didn’t want infinite; they wanted progress. Growth they could feel. Feedback that didn’t sound like a computer trying to be human.

That emotional intelligence? That’s not something you can prompt engineer. That’s product work.

This Isn’t About Taking Sides

Look, I’m not trying to diminish what AI specialists are doing. We need people pushing the boundaries of what’s possible. Experimenting. Breaking things. Figuring out what these models can really do.

But we also need people who can pair that technical power with human judgment. Who see the whole picture. Who can take raw AI capability and shape it into something people actually want to use.

The best AI builders I know are already doing this, even if they don’t call it product thinking. They’re obsessing over user feedback. Measuring retention, not just functionality. Building trust, not just features.

They’re not just automating workflows; they’re designing experiences.

The Future of Product Work (Spoiler: We’re Still Needed)

Here’s what’s coming that has me excited rather than worried.

AI is going to keep getting smarter. Models will develop better memory, understand context more deeply, maybe even start making product-shaped decisions on their own. They’ll adapt to users in real-time, optimize for outcomes we haven’t even defined yet.

Sounds like product managers are about to become obsolete, right?

Wrong.

Because even when AI can adapt and optimize, someone still needs to decide what it should optimize for. Someone needs to set the boundaries. Define what success actually means. Handle the tradeoffs between different user needs.

That’s not going away. If anything, it’s becoming more critical.

When AI can build anything, the questions become: What should we build? For whom? Why? And how do we know if we’re succeeding?

Those are human questions that require human judgment.

The Real Work is Just Beginning

So yeah, AI can prototype faster than ever. It can solve technical problems that used to be major engineering efforts. It can generate, analyze, predict, and simulate in ways that still feel like science fiction.

But the products that actually matter? The ones that stick around, that grow, that become part of people’s daily lives? Those still come from teams that think deeply about human needs and design deliberately around them.

That’s not some romantic notion about the irreplaceable human touch. That’s just reality.

And honestly? There’s more of that work to do now than ever before. Because when you can build anything, choosing what to build becomes the most important skill of all.

So while everyone’s arguing about whether AI will replace product managers, the smart ones are figuring out how to use AI to become better at the job that’s always mattered most: understanding people and building things they actually want.

The tools changed. The work didn’t.

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